"The failure of US and eurozone policy makers to tackle their fiscal woes is threatening an already “slow and bumpy” global economic recovery, the International Monetary Fund has warned.
In its World Economic Outlook, the IMF downgraded its forecasts for global growth next year and provided ammunition to critics of austerity, concluding that governments had systematically underestimated the damage done to growth by tax rises and spending cuts. (...) The fund points to new analysis showing that governments’ assumptions about the trade-off between fiscal consolidation and growth had been too favourable, and cutbacks would do more damage to output than their economic forecasts predicted" [Claire Jones, "IMF cuts global growth forecastcuts global growth forecasts" (Financial Times)].
A pergunta que vale um milhão de euros: Nas negociações do Governo português com a troika, e já lá vão cinco avaliações intercalares, os representantes do FMI têm assumido posições consistentes com os mais recentes estudos que apontam para o efeito negativo da austeridade? Dito de outra maneira, na troika, o FMI tem sido uma 'pomba', ou tem assumido também o papel de 'falcão', apesar dos tais estudos?
Receio que saiba a resposta...
